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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-12-20T00:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-20T00:48Z
CME Note: associated to the X1.8 flare with peak time 2014-12-20T00:24Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending. Another shock was observed on 2014-12-23T10:33Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T14:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T05:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:

KSWC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7e
Resolution: low (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a5b1
WSA version: 2.2


CME input parameters
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2014-12-20T0357z
Radial velocity (km/s): 1059
Longitude (deg): 14
Latitude (deg): -36
Half-angular width (deg): 36

Notes:

Lead Time: 38.10 hour(s)
Difference: 9.47 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by RWC Jeju (KSWC) on 2014-12-21T00:22Z

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